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3 February 2026   Markets

Monsoon cuts Sabah latex supply as concentrate buyers extend cover

Heavy rain across the interior districts has shortened tapping days, prompting compounders to book March and April concentrate earlier than usual.

A tapper cutting a latex channel on a rubber tree

Persistent rain through January reduced tapping days in the Sabah interior to fewer than twelve a month in several districts. Latex arriving at collection points fell accordingly, and concentrate plants in the state have been running below nameplate capacity since the second week of the month.

The effect on price has been modest so far because Malaysian output is small relative to the global balance, but the effect on delivery schedules is not. Compounders that normally buy concentrate month to month have begun booking March and April cargoes, and two large glove factories have extended their cover into the second quarter.

Traders note that the shortfall is seasonal rather than structural. Trees recover quickly once tapping resumes, and the weather pattern this year resembles 2022, when output in the first quarter fell sharply and then caught up by June.

For buyers, the practical advice is to confirm the production week on any concentrate offer rather than accept a generic prompt shipment. A drum packed in a wet week behaves the same as any other drum, but the batch record matters if a downstream glove lot later needs investigation.

The council publishes these notes for members and registered buyers. Figures quoted in market updates are industry estimates and should be verified before a contract is priced.